Tropical Storm Richard is being forecast to make landfall in southern Belize as a Hurricane on Sunday.
Voluntary evacuations are being encouraged also there are shelters available, please stay in tune with you local radio or news channel for the latest Belize NIMO Bulletin.
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Forecast for Richard
The latest set of 2am EDT (6Z) model runs are similar to the previous set of runs. Richard will continue to move just north of west today, in response to a ridge of high pressure that is expected to build in over the Caribbean. This path will bring the center of Richard very close to Guanaja and Roatan Islands off the northern coast of Honduras near 8am EDT Sunday. Residents of those islands can expect tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph to arrive at the islands between 8 pm – midnight EDT tonight. A good way to estimate these arrival times is using the wundermap with the “hurricane” layer turned on and the “wind radius” and “forecast” boxes checked. The coast of Belize can expect tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph to arrive Sunday afternoon, between noon – 4pm EDT. The 11am EDT NHC wind probability forecast is giving the highest odds for tropical storm-force winds at Guanaja in Honduras, at 89%. Belize City is next highest, at 69%. Richard will pass very close to the coast of northern Honduras today, which may limit intensification some. Dry air to the west may also be a problem for the storm, and it is unlikely that Richard will grow stronger than a Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. NHC is currently giving Richard a 4% chance of intensifying into a Category 3 or stronger hurricane before making landfall in Belize on Sunday. The models predict that Richard will dissipate over the Yucatan Peninsula on Monday. If the storm does make it to the Gulf of Mexico, Richard will probably dissipate by Tuesday or Wednesday, due to high wind shear, and the storm is not a threat to the U.S.
Tropical Storm Matthew is heading westward through Central America.
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW
Tropical Storm Matthew made landfall this afternoon near the Honduras/Nicaragua border and has been continuing to work its way inland since. However, since landfall, Matthew has not weakened much if at all.
As of 11 p.m. Eastern Time Friday, the center of Matthew was located about 125 miles east-southeast of La Ceiba, Honduras, or about 245 miles east-southeast of Monkey River Town, Belize, with top winds around 50 miles per hour. Matthew is moving to the west-northwest around 15 miles per hour and is expected to continue this motion through Saturday before slowing down on Sunday. Although Matthew has moved inland, only modest weakening is forecast over the next day or two and it is expected to maintain tropical storm strength through Saturday.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast of Belize from Belize City southward, and for the coast of Honduras (including its offshore islands). A tropical storm watch is in effect for the coast of Belize north of Belize City.
Heavy rainfall and resulting flooding and mudslides are expected to be the biggest threat from Matthew. Total rainfall amounts between six to ten inches are possible in parts of Honduras, Nicaragua, southern Belize, and Guatemala, with even higher amounts possible particularly in higher terrain.
Source : weather.com
